International Commerce
Farzaneh Ahmadian Yazdi; Mostafa Salimifar; Mohammad Taher Ahmadi Shadmehri
Volume 5, Issue 20 , August 2015, Pages 30-11
Abstract
This paper investigates the effects of trade liberalization and economic growth on non-oil bilateral trade balance of Iran and China over the period 1981-2012. For checking the stationarity of the variables and validity of the obtained results, the Augmented Dicky-Fuller test (ADF) and Perrone structural ...
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This paper investigates the effects of trade liberalization and economic growth on non-oil bilateral trade balance of Iran and China over the period 1981-2012. For checking the stationarity of the variables and validity of the obtained results, the Augmented Dicky-Fuller test (ADF) and Perrone structural break test is employed respectively. To estimate the coefficients of the variables, ARDL model has been used. Using the framework of Oskooee and Brooks model, the findings of this paper show that increasing trade liberalization in short run and long run causes trade deficit for Iran. It means that from the view of demand side economists, higher trade liberalization deteriorates the trade balance of the country. Also, based on the obtained results, economic growth in both short run and long run has negative effect on non-oil bilateral trade balance of Iran and China. In addition, the real exchange rate has positive effect on the trade balance of Iran. It means that depreciation of national currency improves trade balance of Iran.
total factor productivity of production؛
seyed mohammad reza seyednourani; masomeh sajadi; faezeh forouzan; fatemeh jahangard
Volume 5, Issue 20 , August 2015, Pages 44-31
Abstract
Since the 1990s social capital was considered as an engine of economic development. Furthermore, in order to achieve the economic development, countries were invested to create and improve the social capital. In this regard education as the most influential factor was on the agenda. Education by increasing ...
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Since the 1990s social capital was considered as an engine of economic development. Furthermore, in order to achieve the economic development, countries were invested to create and improve the social capital. In this regard education as the most influential factor was on the agenda. Education by increasing the personal abilities and knowledge can provide the condition for participation, social interaction and presence in social networks and community. On the other hand, education by create and internalize the norms would regulate people`s behavior that lead to an increase in social trust and social capital. In this study we tried to prove this hypothesis that education leads to social capital and the most effective impact on social capital belongs to the primary school as well. For investigating the impact of different levels of education on social capital in Iran during 1981-2011 we used the GMM method. The estimation results show that education has a positive and significant effect on social capital in this period. Among the different levels of education, the most effective level on social capital is the primary and middle school and the factor that has the least effect on social capital with 0/29 coefficient is higher education.
ARDL
alireza erfani; Abedin Hosseini; hamid maleki
Volume 5, Issue 20 , August 2015, Pages 61-45
Abstract
The main goal of this study is survey and testing effects of asymmetric exchange rate fluctuations (in terms of positive and negative momentum) on private sector investment in Iran. At first, for exchange rate shocks, we used Hodrick-Prescott filter and positive and negative predicted and non-predicted ...
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The main goal of this study is survey and testing effects of asymmetric exchange rate fluctuations (in terms of positive and negative momentum) on private sector investment in Iran. At first, for exchange rate shocks, we used Hodrick-Prescott filter and positive and negative predicted and non-predicted shocks have been obtained. In addition, in specification of private sector investment equation, the effect of other variables such as gross domestic product (without oil) and public investment has been considered. For this purpose, using Auto Regressive Distributed Lag method (ARDL) and Error Correction Model (ECM), long run and short run relationship between private sector investment and factors affecting it during the years 1978 to 2010 have been evaluated. the results show that there is an asymmetric effects of exchange rate fluctuations on private sector investment but exchange rate positive shocks are more effective than negative shocks.
New Keynesians
Hassan Heidari; lesyan saeidpour
Volume 5, Issue 20 , August 2015, Pages 78-61
Abstract
This paper investigates the effects of fiscal policy shocks and fiscal multipliers of the Iranian economy in the framework of New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model (DSGE) by applying Bayesian approach. The results indicate that consumption tax shock lead to short-run decrease in ...
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This paper investigates the effects of fiscal policy shocks and fiscal multipliers of the Iranian economy in the framework of New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model (DSGE) by applying Bayesian approach. The results indicate that consumption tax shock lead to short-run decrease in output. Moreover, government spending shock leads to short-run increase in output and long-run increase in inflation. This result makes sense as government expenditures are financed by an increase in the monetary base.The results of structural fiscal multipliers indicate that short-run government expenditure multiplier with 1.29 percent has a direct relationship and sales and payroll tax multiplier with 0.22 percent has an indirect relationship with output. Therefore financing government spending with sales and payroll tax can be considered as an effective fiscal policy to increase output.
Economic Growth
Volume 5, Issue 20 , August 2015, Pages 98-79
Abstract
In past years there are differences between economic researchers about relationship of natural resource abundance and GDP per capita. Some of them based on empirical evidence have believe that resource abundance are inhibitors the road to GDP, while other researchers with providing evidence believe that ...
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In past years there are differences between economic researchers about relationship of natural resource abundance and GDP per capita. Some of them based on empirical evidence have believe that resource abundance are inhibitors the road to GDP, while other researchers with providing evidence believe that resource abundance in itself has direct positive effect on GDP, however the interaction effect is negative. The present study investigates the relationship between natural resource abundance and GDP per capita through effects of the two groups of countries (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and NON-OPEC) over the period 1995-2012. For this purpose, the variables such as natural resource abundant, Dutch disease, economic freedom and financial capital and impact of natural resource abundant on degree of economic freedom as an institutional variable are used for interaction mechanisms. The estimation results show that in all both group of countries, natural resource abundant has positive and significant impact on GDP per capita, while interaction between economic freedom on natural resource abundance in Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries as a deterrent and in other groups to act as a GDP extender factors.
Economic Growth
Behzad Salmani; Hossein Panahi; Robab Mohammadi Khaneghahi
Volume 5, Issue 20 , August 2015, Pages 108-99
Abstract
The main objective of this study is to investigate the effect of health indicators (life expectancy and mortality rate) on per capita income. to do so, a panel data of 93 middle income countries over the period 1980-2011 is used. Panel data regression models including fixed effects, random effects and ...
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The main objective of this study is to investigate the effect of health indicators (life expectancy and mortality rate) on per capita income. to do so, a panel data of 93 middle income countries over the period 1980-2011 is used. Panel data regression models including fixed effects, random effects and generalized method of moments (GMM) used to determine the effect of health indicators on per capita income. The results showed that the relationship between health indicators and per capita income is not monotonic and follows an U -shaped relationship. Since all of the countries passed turning point of U - shaped curve, one can say that improving health indicators in these countries significantly increases per capita income.
Entrepreneurship
Mohammad Hossein Ehsanfar; Abolghaseme Asna-Ashari Amiri; Seyedeh Vajihe Mikaeeli
Volume 5, Issue 20 , August 2015, Pages 119-109
Abstract
The main aim of this research is investigating the relationship between unemployment and job vacancies and also the relationship between the number of job seekers and job vacancies in provinces of Iran. In other words, this paper seeks to obtain the Beveridge curve and Matching Function in provinces ...
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The main aim of this research is investigating the relationship between unemployment and job vacancies and also the relationship between the number of job seekers and job vacancies in provinces of Iran. In other words, this paper seeks to obtain the Beveridge curve and Matching Function in provinces of Iran. Beveridge curve is an equilibrium relationship which equates unemployment input and output flows. Matching Function describes the equilibrium in the labor market and then shows the normal state of the country in the long run. Using panel data, this study has been done in 30 provinces of the country, in the years 2007 to 2011. The results of the Matching Function have shown positive and significant relationship between job vacancies and job matching. Beveridge curve evaluation results are also consistent with theoretical foundations and have proven negative and significant relationship between unemployment rate and job vacancies. Job vacancies squared positive coefficient indicates convexity of Beveridge curve.
