Zahra Nematollahi; Naser Shahnoushi; Ozra Javanbakht; Mahmoud Daneshvar Kakhki
Volume 5, Issue 19 , June 2015, , Pages 11-24
Abstract
Due to the performance of subsidies targeted, present study has been done to examine the effects of results of the implementation of this law on production activities. Social accounting matrix of 2001 was prepared and then general equilibrium model was developed. Gasoline and diesel have two prices, ...
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Due to the performance of subsidies targeted, present study has been done to examine the effects of results of the implementation of this law on production activities. Social accounting matrix of 2001 was prepared and then general equilibrium model was developed. Gasoline and diesel have two prices, so two scenarios were simulated. The results of the two scenarios showed that, targeted subsidies of energy carriers, reduces product in production activities, increases price of commodities, and decreases households' consumption.
Economic Growth
Yeganeh Mousavi Jahromi; Hadi Ghaffari; Mehdi Jaloli
Volume 8, Issue 31 , June 2018, , Pages 13-28
Abstract
The current study, using the VAR model, tries to explore the effects and consequences of economic instability on economic growth in Iran during the 1981-2011 periods using the principle components analysis. In this study, using the principle components analysis (PCA), an indicator of economic instability ...
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The current study, using the VAR model, tries to explore the effects and consequences of economic instability on economic growth in Iran during the 1981-2011 periods using the principle components analysis. In this study, using the principle components analysis (PCA), an indicator of economic instability was built and then the impact of this indicator on economic growth of Iran was examined. The findings show that Only the importance of labor in the Agricultural sector but in other sectors more than other variables, physical capital is the more important in explaining economic growth. In all areas of macroeconomics, variable economic instability negative impact on economic growth in the sector. Four parts macroeconomic indicator of economic instability in the analysis of variance, respectively, in the fields of Industry and Minerals, Services, Agriculture and Oil and Gas exploration is more important.
Economic Growth
saeed karimi potanlar; ahmad jafari samimi; hamid Hamid La'l-e-Khezri
Abstract
The aim of this article is to analyzing the effect of shocks of fiscal consolidation policy on the macroeconomic variables of Iran. In this regard by using Factor Augmented Vector Auto Regression (FAVAR) method the effect of shocks on government revenues and expenditures on important macroeconomic variables ...
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The aim of this article is to analyzing the effect of shocks of fiscal consolidation policy on the macroeconomic variables of Iran. In this regard by using Factor Augmented Vector Auto Regression (FAVAR) method the effect of shocks on government revenues and expenditures on important macroeconomic variables including total real GDP growth, inflation, private consumption growth and investment growth over the period 1984:1 -2015:4 is investigated. The results of research models show that the effect of fiscal consolidation policy on the macroeconomic variables are different, and it is difficult to provide a same policy tool to effect all variables. Thus with emphasis on real GDP growth which is a major factor that affects other macroeconomic variables, it can be noted that in short term which consists of 4 seasons, reducing public expenditures and increasing government revenues lead to a reduction in production in response to a negative reaction to investment and private consumption and inflation will decrease. Therefore in the short term the suitable policy for fiscal consolidation is a combination of expenditure cut and income rising and in particular, the policy of reducing current expenditure and increasing import taxes. In the medium and long term, respectively consist of 8 and 16 seasons, real GDP growth responses positively to the expenditures cut policy, decline in current expenditures and social public expenditures is introduced as an instrument of fiscal consolidation policy.
s
hamid zolghadr; Hossein Asgharpur; Mohsen Purebadolahan; Behzad Salmani; Asadollah Farzinvash
Abstract
Banks due to their ownership structure have specific objective in granting credits. Hence, Ownership structure can be impact on economic growth by Influencing banks' lending behavior. Purposes of this study are investigating the role of bank ownership in the impact of bank credit on economic growthwith ...
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Banks due to their ownership structure have specific objective in granting credits. Hence, Ownership structure can be impact on economic growth by Influencing banks' lending behavior. Purposes of this study are investigating the role of bank ownership in the impact of bank credit on economic growthwith considering income level of provinces. This research is divided banks into state and private also divided provinces into two groups of high and low income. Econometric model of this research is estimated using panel data in 31 provinces during of 2006-2015. Descriptive analysis results showed that average of total credits each year, 21 percent by private banks and 79 percent by state-owned banks is paid. The findings of the model estimation indicate that the impact of both types of banks credit on provinces' economic growth was higher in low income levels compared to provinces with high income levels. The results of the tests conducted to measure the difference in the impact of two types of banks in each region indicated that state banks, with a significant difference compared to private banks, had a greater effect on economic growth in lower-income provinces. But the difference in the effectiveness of two types of bank credit on economic growth in provinces with high income level is not significant. Therefore, structure of bank ownership has effective role on the impact of credits on economic growth due to the income level of the regions.
Economic Growth
Abolqasem Esnaashari Amiri; Asqar Abolhasani Histiani; Mohammad Reza Ranjbar Fallah; Bita Shaygani; seyed ghorban malizadeh kolagar
Abstract
Regarding the importance of the relationship between volume of liquidity and GDP in manufacturing sector policy making, using a time-varying parameter (TVP) regression model and Kalman filter approach, the present research studies the GDP's response to effective variables such as capital, labor force, ...
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Regarding the importance of the relationship between volume of liquidity and GDP in manufacturing sector policy making, using a time-varying parameter (TVP) regression model and Kalman filter approach, the present research studies the GDP's response to effective variables such as capital, labor force, and in particular liquidity volume during the period of 1978-2015. The results of estimating the regression model with time varying parameter and the study of the trend of the coefficients of explanatory variables over time show that these coefficients have not been constant over the period under study and have changed due to exogenous shocks such as revolution, war, oil price shocks, applied economic policies, structural changes, international political stances, and economic sanctions. By comparing the trend of changes in the GDP growth rate with changes in the rate of growth of liquidity, it can be said that the trend of changes in these two variables are not proportionate, showing that policy making in the monetary sector has not been efficient. Therefore, it is suggested that the central bank should have an appropriate operational independence and that the rate of liquidity growth vary proportionately with the rate of GDP growth.
Dynamic Panel Data
Abdolali Monsef; Mozhgan Moalemi; Jahangir Biyabani; Mehdi Nejati; javad Taherizadeh
Abstract
If happiness is a good feature of society and development is considered as a gradual movement towards good society, happiness can be one of the goals of developmental policies. In the field of happiness economics, the focus of studies is on analyzing the impact of various economic factors on happiness. ...
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If happiness is a good feature of society and development is considered as a gradual movement towards good society, happiness can be one of the goals of developmental policies. In the field of happiness economics, the focus of studies is on analyzing the impact of various economic factors on happiness. But so far, no study has investigated the effect of economic variables on happiness with the panel threshold regression models. In the present study, the effect of eight variables on happiness using panel data for 100 countries in the period 2005 to 2016 in three scenarios was investigated using panel threshold regression method. The results of the research show that the happiness relationship with per capita income, health, consumption, government expenditures and economic freedom is positive and there is a negative relationship between happiness and income inequality, inflation and unemployment. In each scenario, only a threshold value was detected. Consumption expenditures and economic freedom have a positive effect on happiness, and the size of this effect increases with increasing per capita income (threshold variable). Per capita income has a positive effect on happiness, but with increasing income inequality (threshold variable), the effect of per capita income will decrease. It seems, therefore, that the formulation of appropriate policies to reduce income inequality can lead to more social happiness for the society, which will result in increased productivity and economic growth.
s
Zahra Sharif; Masoud Nonejad; Ali Haghighat; Mehrzad Ebrahimi
Abstract
The fundamental question of this study is whether the variables that generally lead to increase in the general price level of goods and services in an economy over a period of time can reduce the prices level with the same intensity and during the same time period? To answer this question, according ...
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The fundamental question of this study is whether the variables that generally lead to increase in the general price level of goods and services in an economy over a period of time can reduce the prices level with the same intensity and during the same time period? To answer this question, according to the stylized facts and evidence of Iran’s economy, the results of the most important studies available, and the accurate official statistics, we investigate the main economic factors affecting the inflation in Iran. In this regard, using monthly time series data of economic factors (which include the liquidity, GDP, Iran's crude oil prices, and openness) over the period from November 2008 to October 2018, an error correction model based on hidden cointegration approach, CECM (Crouching Error Correction Model), has been used to differentiate between the asymmetric behaviour of variables through decomposing the variables into positive and negative components to distinguish the accurate relationships between the variables when they increase and decrease. The results of this study, while confirming the existence of the significant asymmetric relationships between the economic factors and inflation, emphasised on the incomplete pass-through of all of the factors mentioned above into the inflation rate. Furthermore, these results have confirmed the crucial role of the liquidity and real GDP in comparison to the other research variables to control the inflation rate. The results also highlighted that the period of returning the inflation rate to its long-run equilibrium would be significantly different if the policy of increase or decrease in each of the economic factors occurs; consequently, this issue should be taken into account in inflation-targeting policies.
Monetary policy
Mansour Khalili Iraqi; Sajad barkhordari; Amin Gallavani
Abstract
This study attempts to find out the impact of financial development on inflation targeting and monetary policy efficiency in OECD and OPEC countries for the period 2001-2017 based on annual data. For this purpose, the long-term inflation trend, which was extracted by the Hodrick Prescott (HP) filter, ...
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This study attempts to find out the impact of financial development on inflation targeting and monetary policy efficiency in OECD and OPEC countries for the period 2001-2017 based on annual data. For this purpose, the long-term inflation trend, which was extracted by the Hodrick Prescott (HP) filter, is considered as a proxy for the target inflation rate, and the difference between this proxy and the actual inflation rate was entered to the model as a dependent variable. Also, the broad-based index, which had been introduced by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in 2016, optimized by using fuzzy logic, has been used as a proxy for financial development. The results show that in OPEC countries, financial development has been neutral on monetary policy efficiency through output growth, which is consistent with the monetary neutral theory, and also financial development strengthen the efficiency of inflation targeting in these countries. On the other hand, the study indicates in OECD countries, financial development has been neutral on monetary policy efficiency through output growth, and unlike in OPEC countries, financial development has been neutral on inflation targeting efficiency in the period under review. This confirms that a high level of financial development reduces the efficiency of inflation targeting.
Maryam Ramezani; Yeganeh Mousavi Jahromi; Mojgan Moallemy; Ali Reza Sharif Moghadasi
Abstract
Economic vulnerability, is a country’s structural feature, making it exposed by out-of-control economic exogenous variables.On the other hand, resilience stems from how macroeconomic policies are adopted.The purpose of this article is to analyze the relationship between sustainable development, ...
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Economic vulnerability, is a country’s structural feature, making it exposed by out-of-control economic exogenous variables.On the other hand, resilience stems from how macroeconomic policies are adopted.The purpose of this article is to analyze the relationship between sustainable development, vulnerability and resilience in the Iran's economy in the time period of 1391-1398.In this way, sustainable development consists of 5 Dimensions: Economic, Social, Environmental, Governance, Peripheral and also includes 44 variables as a sub-indicator of each development's dimension. It uses graph theory and Tarjan Algorithm for study the network structure of relationships between variables. The Algorithm identifies34 variables as the fundamental variables affecting economic resilience and vulnerability and introduces economic and governance Dimensions as control (major) Dimensions; Social, Environmental and Peripheral Dimensions as Contingent (minor) Dimensions.The results show that weakness of Iran's economy in this period was due to vulnerability and resilience in governance and economy Dimensions.Among the contingent Dimensions, the Peripheral dimension has the worst situation in terms of vulnerability and resilience.The innovation of this research is in studying the Dimensions of sustainable development and its effect on vulnerability and resilience, moreover graph theory has been used in order to study the influential variables for the first time in Iran. In this algorithm, without limiting the number of input variables, the phenomenon can be analyzed comprehensively. furthermore, a holistic table has been prepared, by focusing on the variables affecting the state of vulnerability and resilience in the theoretical foundations of the subject, that has not been shown in any other studies.
yasaman hokmollahi; ali taiebnia; mohsen mehrara
Abstract
Trade liberalization, both directly and indirectly (through structural changes), affects the total factor productivity. The key factor in determining the direction of this impact is the quality of institutions. In this study, to consider the most important aspects of structural change, we propose a multidimensional ...
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Trade liberalization, both directly and indirectly (through structural changes), affects the total factor productivity. The key factor in determining the direction of this impact is the quality of institutions. In this study, to consider the most important aspects of structural change, we propose a multidimensional index for structural change using the principal component method and then applying the Bayesian averaging method (IVBMA) econometrics model evaluate the effect of trade liberalization, structural changes, and the quality of institutions on total factor productivity in a subsample of 64 countries. our IVBMA results indicate that structural change, business freedom, and resources rents are the most important variables in explaining the observed differences in the total factor productivity index. Structural change with a posterior inclusion probability (PIP) of 0.74 Is the most important independent variable to explain the observed differences in the level of total factor productivity. Increasing the multidimensional index of structural change with a posterior coefficient of 0.14 has a negative effect on total factor productivity. An increase in business freedom index and resources rents leads to 0.39 and 0.22 increase in total factor productivity index. Trade liberalization with a posterior inclusion probability of 0.45 had a positive effect on total factor productivity. Granger causality test also shows that trade liberalization is the cause of structural change; Therefore, trade liberalization in this study has caused structural changes that reduce productivity.Keywords: Structural change, Trade liberalization, Institutions, Productivity
Dynamic Panel Data
Mohammad Reza Lotfalipour; Mohammad Hossein Mahdavi Adeli
Volume 6, Issue 24 , September 2016, , Pages 17-38
Abstract
Due to limitation of energy resources and its importance in the supply chain as the final products for consumers and inputs for manufacturers on the one hand, and On the other hand, due to the large fluctuations in prices and increased greenhouse gas emissions conservation policies and factors affecting ...
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Due to limitation of energy resources and its importance in the supply chain as the final products for consumers and inputs for manufacturers on the one hand, and On the other hand, due to the large fluctuations in prices and increased greenhouse gas emissions conservation policies and factors affecting supply and demand in recent decades have been considered by the scientific and policy communities. In this study, the relationship between energy consumption, export and economic growth in the industrial sector of the Iranian economy has been tested.For this purpose, the panel data of energy consumption, export and value added of the industrial sector in the ISIC 2-digit level detail over the years 2002 to 2012 were used. To study causality and dynamics between variables in the industrial sector the Toda-Yamamoto causality and vector error correction model were used. The results show bidirectional short-run, long-run and strong causality between variables, Except for one case that from exports to energy consumption and economic growth in the short run, there is no causality.
total factor productivity of production؛
Seyed Komail Tayebi; Karim Azarbayejani; Salahoddin Manouchehri
Volume 7, Issue 25 , November 2016, , Pages 17-36
Abstract
International outsourcing and intermediate goods trade as a signal of economic globalization have been in progress. One of the benefits of technology transfer is acquiring foreign technology with higher efficiency, as technology spillovers lead to increased productivity of local firms. In this study, ...
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International outsourcing and intermediate goods trade as a signal of economic globalization have been in progress. One of the benefits of technology transfer is acquiring foreign technology with higher efficiency, as technology spillovers lead to increased productivity of local firms. In this study, objective is to investigate the effects of international outsourcing, high-techcapital, foreign direct investment spillovers and capital stock of R&D on total factor productivity in selected high-tech industries in Iran. we have specified a theoretical framework, and then estimated its empirical version by the panel data econometric method for the selected high-tech industries in Iran during the period (2000-2012). The results show that the estimated coefficient of international outsourcing (OS) is statistically significantat the 5% of significance level.The results also indicate a significant positive effect of high-tech capital and FDI spillovers on total factor productivity in the selected Iran’s high-tech industries. However, the results show that the R&D capital stock has not been statistically significant in the estimated total factor productivity equation for such industries.
Economic Growth
Hamid Azizmohammadlou
Volume 7, Issue 26 , February 2017, , Pages 17-34
Abstract
In this paper, the effects of industrial clusters on regional economic growth have been analyzed through an endogenous growth model using panel data approach (30 provinces during 2001-2012).The findings show a statistically significant relationship between industrial clusters and regional economic growth ...
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In this paper, the effects of industrial clusters on regional economic growth have been analyzed through an endogenous growth model using panel data approach (30 provinces during 2001-2012).The findings show a statistically significant relationship between industrial clusters and regional economic growth so that 1% increase in industrial cluster growth leads to 0.09% increase in reginal economic gowth rate. Investigating the mechanisms in which industrial clusters affect regional economic growth, reveals that the positive effects of industrial clusters on Iran regional economic growth are due to the improvement in labor and human capital. Industrial clusters, however, could not successfully enhance economic growth through technology development and finance facilitation. The findings show the necessity of serious attention to the technology and financial improvement program in the industrial cluster development policies.
Quality of Environment
Majid Ahmadian; Ghahreman Abdoli; Farkhondeh Jebel Ameli; Mahmood Shabankhah; seyed adel khorasani
Volume 7, Issue 27 , July 2017, , Pages 17-28
Abstract
In recent decades environment has been an important issue more than any other time. Hence, this study investigated the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality indicator in selected developing countries (including 32 country) for the period 2002-2013 by using a dynamic panel method ...
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In recent decades environment has been an important issue more than any other time. Hence, this study investigated the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality indicator in selected developing countries (including 32 country) for the period 2002-2013 by using a dynamic panel method based on generalized method of moments (GMM). The results show that there is a positive and significant relationship between economics growth and degradation of environment (environmental quality degradation), which means that an increase in environment degradation indicator increased the economic growth. This case is because of the rate of resource depletion begins to exceed the rate of resource regeneration and Pollution Haven Hypothesis in the studied countries. The results of Sargen and Arellano-bond autocorrelation test also respectively show, there is correlation between tools and component disruption and model does not have autocorrelation in the first order difference. Meanwhile results of Toda and Yamamoto Causality test show the existence of unilateral relationship from the Environment Degradation indicator to Economic Growth.
Economic Growth
Ali Mahdiloo; Hosein Asgharpour; Mohammad Mehdi Barghi Oskooei
Volume 7, Issue 28 , September 2017, , Pages 17-32
Abstract
There are two major views on the subject of the relationship between the development of non-oil exports and economic growth. In first opinion, non-oil exports leads to economic growth through the increase in quality of inputs. In second opinion, economic growth will increase non-oil exports throughquantitative ...
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There are two major views on the subject of the relationship between the development of non-oil exports and economic growth. In first opinion, non-oil exports leads to economic growth through the increase in quality of inputs. In second opinion, economic growth will increase non-oil exports throughquantitative strengthening of inputs. In non-linear models there are the ability to calculate relationship between variables and causal variables in different regimes. For this reason non-linear causality models can have better results than linear causality models. For this purpose in this study a Markov Switching model is used to investigate non-linear causal relationship between economic growth and non-oil export in the years 1973-2013. The results indicate that in first regime (high growth) and second regime (low economic growth), there is no causality between exports and economic growth. The reason is lack of sufficient attention to production of other economic sectors during the oil boom. As a result, it causes the weakening of production, reduction of domestic production and international competitive power and finally reduction of the share of exports of goods and services in economic growth.
s
Nader Mehregan; Ezatollah Abbasian; Saeed Isazadeh; ebrahim faraji
Volume 8, Issue 29 , December 2017, , Pages 17-30
Abstract
New economies undergo significant short-run variations in aggregate output and employment. Understanding the causes of aggregate fluctuations is a central goal of macroeconomics. RBC models consider real shocks as the main cause of business cycles. Within RBC models, the purposes of this study are estimating ...
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New economies undergo significant short-run variations in aggregate output and employment. Understanding the causes of aggregate fluctuations is a central goal of macroeconomics. RBC models consider real shocks as the main cause of business cycles. Within RBC models, the purposes of this study are estimating the real shocks of Iran’s economy and investigating its effects on the economy’s fluctuations. For these purposes, a method that is introduced by McCallum (1989) has been applied during the years 1959-2014. According to the results presented in this study, the highest amount of persistency of the real shocks is related to the oil sector then to the agricultural sector. The variability of oil sector shocks is much more than the variability of agriculture sector shocks. A periodic manner with parallel and durable fluctuations can be seen in the shocks. Negative effects are more intense than positive effects. It seems, Iran’s economy undergoes five real business cycles in 56-year of the study. Also, the production fluctuations due to real shocks are a hump-shape process. These fluctuations peak after 1 or 2 years, then decline.
Economic Growth
aliakbar arabmazar; rassam moshrefi; mohammad mostafazadeh
Volume 8, Issue 30 , April 2018, , Pages 17-32
Abstract
Economic growth is one of the key variables measuring economic performance of any country. So it is very important to understand the factors influencing it.In this paper, a selection of some institutional and political variables along with basic variables affecting economic growthhave been used to analyze ...
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Economic growth is one of the key variables measuring economic performance of any country. So it is very important to understand the factors influencing it.In this paper, a selection of some institutional and political variables along with basic variables affecting economic growthhave been used to analyze their effects on economic growth in period 1980 to 2013. Eight comparative models by applying ARDL method and using Eviewssoftware have been estimated.The research results indicate that the fundamental political and social parameters have stronger impact on economic growth in comparison of basic variables.The variables of democracy, the quality of law, economic freedom, openness, human development and good governance directly influence economic growth in Iran
Ahmad Sabahi; Ali Akbar Naji Meidani; Elahe Soleimani
Volume 3, Issue 11 , September 2013, , Pages 18-9
Abstract
This study examines the impact of entrepreneurship on economic growth in selected countries, using data from the 2008 addresses. The study is applicational and gathering of data is doing through attributive style. Using the Romer endogenous growth model, variables that influence the growth of entrepreneurship, ...
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This study examines the impact of entrepreneurship on economic growth in selected countries, using data from the 2008 addresses. The study is applicational and gathering of data is doing through attributive style. Using the Romer endogenous growth model, variables that influence the growth of entrepreneurship, along with other important variables entered into the model. Three different indicators to measure entrepreneurship, including Global Entrepreneurship Monitors indexes are used. The results of the model estimated by Ordinary Least Squares support each other for sectional data in all three indexes, that this is will strengthen consistency and accuracy of results and findings. Findings suggest significant effects of entrepreneurship on economic growth. Of course, the amount and type of impact depends on the level of countries’s per capita income. So that in countries with high per capita income, entrepreneurship has positive effects on economic growth and entrepreneurship in low income and poor countries has a negative effect. According to the research’s results, entrepreneurship should be emphasized especially on the basis of innovation in the developed countries and is felt the need for government incentive policies to increase their participation in the economy in the form of entrepreneurship in developing countries also.
Akbar Komijani; Gholamali Haji
Volume 2, Issue 7 , September 2012, , Pages 20-9
Abstract
In this article growth resources for Iran will be assessed for the period of 1959 – 2010 in format of two models. In the first model in addition of labor and capital from export, government expenditure and terms of trade in the production process will be used as effective inputs. Inserting export ...
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In this article growth resources for Iran will be assessed for the period of 1959 – 2010 in format of two models. In the first model in addition of labor and capital from export, government expenditure and terms of trade in the production process will be used as effective inputs. Inserting export was because of offering improvement of production technique training of skilled labor and work wild improvement was because of open economy and also inserting government spending and also terms of trade was because of dependence of government budget to oil and open economy of country. In the second model, economy will be divided to, two sectors of export and non – export that each of these sectors has a separate production function. In this model growth not only occurs because of labor and capital in export sector but also reallocation of resources from non – export sector to export sector will be effective in growth. In both models there is a positive and significant relation between export and economic growth. In both models Bruesch-Godfrey statistic indicates to the lack of serial correlation between residual terms also Bruesch-Pagan-Godfrey statistic indicates to lack of infinite consistency residual term variance.
Hosein Sadeghi; Behrooz Maleki; Abass Asari; Vahid Mahmoudi
Volume 3, Issue 12 , November 2013, , Pages 20-9
Abstract
This paper wants to study the relationship between social trust and human capital. Social trust is a necessary condition for human development. Fuzzy method is used. Findings of this study showed that in %68 of the countries, social capital is a necessary condition for human development and coverage ...
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This paper wants to study the relationship between social trust and human capital. Social trust is a necessary condition for human development. Fuzzy method is used. Findings of this study showed that in %68 of the countries, social capital is a necessary condition for human development and coverage index showes that 63% of human capital space is covering by social trust. It also was cleared that the degree of membership in social trust set is associated with a degree of membership in a set of human capital; so, the more the degree of membership in the set of countries with high social trust, the more degree of membership in the set of countries with high human capital.
Asma Koochakzadeh; Sayyed Abdolmajid Jalaee
Volume 4, Issue 16 , November 2014, , Pages 20-11
Abstract
Volatility in currency exchange rate and the resulting uncertainty is one of the major variables in macroeconomics that affects different economic sectors in various aspects. Since these fluctuations and the resulting uncertainty do not affect all economic sectors in a similar way, this study aims to ...
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Volatility in currency exchange rate and the resulting uncertainty is one of the major variables in macroeconomics that affects different economic sectors in various aspects. Since these fluctuations and the resulting uncertainty do not affect all economic sectors in a similar way, this study aims to investigate the effect of uncertainty in the actual currency exchange rate on development of economic sectors in Iran using combined data over the period between 1991 and 2011 through panel method. The results obtained from this study indicate that uncertainty in the exchange rate has negative and significant effects on development of economic sectors. This effect was higher in industry, mining, agriculture, transportation and communication, hotels and restaurants, and construction sector with -0.51, -0.40, -0.35, -0.27,-0.24, and -0.23 respectively.
Economic Growth
Zahra Afshari
Volume 6, Issue 22 , January 2016, , Pages 20-13
Abstract
This article examines theselected socio- economic determinants of fertility in Iran. For this purpose, the data for 30 provinces of Iran during the period 2006-2012 were considered. The panel data method of estimation was applied to estimate the relationship between the variables. The resultsshow thateconomic ...
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This article examines theselected socio- economic determinants of fertility in Iran. For this purpose, the data for 30 provinces of Iran during the period 2006-2012 were considered. The panel data method of estimation was applied to estimate the relationship between the variables. The resultsshow thateconomic development in provinces measured by GDP per capita decreased the fertility rate. Economic development accompanied by urbanization and industrialization increased the share of women with higher education in population. These developments by changing the rule of women in family decision making and postponing the marriage increased the average age of women in first marriage. These factors had a reverse and significant impact on fertility rate in Iran for the period under consideration. These results confirm the modernization school of thought. Furthermore, our model, consistent with some previous cross country researches,indicates that fertility reveals procyclical behavior which confirm the Pennsylvania theory of fertility.
Batool Rafat; Saeedeh Beyk Zadeh
Volume 2, Issue 8 , December 2012, , Pages 22-9
Abstract
Economic integration is one of the most challenging issues of the countries in present time on which there are many disagreements. Investigating its effects and consequences from different views including, political, economic, social, and cultural aspects has attracted many scientists, economists, and ...
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Economic integration is one of the most challenging issues of the countries in present time on which there are many disagreements. Investigating its effects and consequences from different views including, political, economic, social, and cultural aspects has attracted many scientists, economists, and cultural workers across the world. These investigations need quantification and exertion of proper indices for measuring this phenomenon. By introducing globalization index of KOF, this paper tries to represent its effects on economic growth and employment rate among ECO, simultaneously. We use international data during 2001-2010 and gravity model was evaluated by panel data method in this paper. Also for simultaneous analysis, 2 SLS method was used. The results show that gross productions of ECO countries have had a positive and significant effect on the rate of bilateral trade among the countries . Trade effects on economic growth of their countries has been proved to be positive and significant as well. Employment had positive and significant effects on economic growth .
Seyed Mojtaba Mojaverian; Fatemeh Kashiri Kolaei; Zabihollah Falahati
Volume 5, Issue 17 , December 2014, , Pages 22-11
Abstract
In recent years, the impact of non-economic incentives such as life satisfaction and beliefs of community has been examined on economic behavior, such as growth and per capita income. The purpose of this study is to identify the correlation between life satisfaction index and per capita income ...
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In recent years, the impact of non-economic incentives such as life satisfaction and beliefs of community has been examined on economic behavior, such as growth and per capita income. The purpose of this study is to identify the correlation between life satisfaction index and per capita income with the intensity of religious beliefs. To this end, 2SLS estimator and cross-sectional data in 88 countries in 2010 were used. The results showed that the index of per capita income has a significant positive impact on life satisfaction. Also higher religious restrictions in communities were associated with less life satisfaction, and this shows government involvement in religious beliefs and consequently loss of life satisfaction. In addition, investment, government expenditure and trade variables have a positive and significant relationship with per capita income. Also, life satisfaction has a significant and positive effect on per capita income. Based on the used data in this study, there is a mutual relationship between life satisfaction and percapita income.
Ahmad Googerdchian; Fatemeh Rahimi
Volume 3, Issue 9 , April 2013, , Pages 24-9
Abstract
The process of technology growth through internal research and development (R&D) is slow and expensive in developing countries. Technology has an inevitable role in production and industry; therefore countries will be able to benefit from spillovers effects through bilateral trade. In other words, ...
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The process of technology growth through internal research and development (R&D) is slow and expensive in developing countries. Technology has an inevitable role in production and industry; therefore countries will be able to benefit from spillovers effects through bilateral trade. In other words, every country and to be more specific, developing countries can have access to high-tech followed by growth and productivity in less expense through trade with developed countries. In this respect, growth and productivity of any country can be affected by investment in domestic R&D as well as R&D of trade partners. This research is an investigation of the effect of R&D spillovers and innovation of Iran trade partners on the country's economic growth from 2000 to 2009. According to gravity model, the results show that all the included variables - GDP of partners, population, spillovers of domestic and foreign R&D as well as innovation - have significant influence on Iran's economic growth.
