The SOCIO- economics Determnants of Fertility in Iran (panel data  aproch)

Afshari, Zahra

Document Type : ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Author

Zahra Afshari

Professor of Economics, Alzahra University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

This article examines theselected socio- economic determinants of fertility in Iran. For this purpose, the data for 30 provinces of Iran during the period 2006-2012 were considered. The panel data method of estimation was applied to estimate the relationship between the variables. The resultsshow thateconomic development in provinces measured by GDP per capita decreased the fertility rate. Economic development accompanied by urbanization and industrialization increased the share of women with higher education in population. These developments by changing the rule of women in family decision making and postponing the marriage increased the average age of women in first marriage. These factors had a reverse and significant impact on fertility rate in Iran for the period under consideration. These results confirm the modernization school of thought. Furthermore, our model, consistent with some previous cross country researches,indicates that fertility reveals procyclical behavior which confirm the Pennsylvania theory of fertility.

Keywords

Main Subjects

Economic Growth

References

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Economic Growth and Development Research

The SOCIO- economics Determnants of Fertility in Iran (panel data aproch)

References

References

Robinson, Warren, C. (1997). “The Economic Theory of Fertility Over Three Decades, Population Studies”. A Journal of Demography, 51(1), 63-74.

Sanderson, Warren, C. (1976). “New Estimates and Interpretations of the Decline in Fertility of White Women in the United States, 1800-1920”. Stanford Project on the History of Contraceptive Technology Working Paper (November 1976).

Volume 6, Issue 22 - Serial Number 22
January 2016
Pages 20-13

The SOCIO- economics Determnants of Fertility in Iran (panel data aproch)

References

References

Robinson, Warren, C. (1997). “The Economic Theory of Fertility Over Three Decades, Population Studies”. A Journal of Demography, 51(1), 63-74.

Sanderson, Warren, C. (1976). “New Estimates and Interpretations of the Decline in Fertility of White Women in the United States, 1800-1920”. Stanford Project on the History of Contraceptive Technology Working Paper (November 1976).

Volume 6, Issue 22 - Serial Number 22January 2016Pages 20-13

Volume 6, Issue 22 - Serial Number 22
January 2016
Pages 20-13