Economic Growth
aliasghar baharloo; Syed Abdulmajid Jalaee Esfandabadi; Mohsen Zayandeh Roodi
Abstract
Considering the role of capital as one of the most important factors which can affect production, job creation, and productive activities, this study was an attempt to investigate factors which can influence investment and the way they do so. To this end, this study benefitted from a dynamic computable ...
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Considering the role of capital as one of the most important factors which can affect production, job creation, and productive activities, this study was an attempt to investigate factors which can influence investment and the way they do so. To this end, this study benefitted from a dynamic computable general equilibrium model approach to simulate the effects of technology spillovers on economic and welfare variables involved in the investment of Iranian private sector in the country's economy. Accordingly, the study focused on changes in the production index of different economic sectors of Iran and changes in the consumption and price levels in the form of four different scenarios, namely doubling foreign direct investment, improving productivity through technology spillovers by using a coefficient of 0.0062, increasing import of capital and intermediate goods by 20%, and simultaneous application of the aforementioned three scenarios by using the 2013 Social Accounting Matrix for Iran. the results revealed, application of the first scenario can lead to an increase in the level of private sector investment in all the 14 sectors of Iran's economy and cause production growth. Moreover, application of the third scenario can cause the investment level of private sector to decrease. Finally, consideration of the fourth scenario, as compared to the other three scenarios, can be accompanied by a more considerable increase in the levels of production, private sector investment, household consumption, export, import, and thus households' welfare.
s
Mohammad Mahdi Bargi Osgooee; Mostafa Shokri
Abstract
Foreign direct investment (FDI) is one of the major factors affecting the economic growth and development of a country. Iran's economic condition not only steers liquidity towards non-productive activities but also doesn't have sufficient domestic capital for economic growth and propensity. Thus, absorption ...
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Foreign direct investment (FDI) is one of the major factors affecting the economic growth and development of a country. Iran's economic condition not only steers liquidity towards non-productive activities but also doesn't have sufficient domestic capital for economic growth and propensity. Thus, absorption of the foreign financial funds seems to be a useful and effective way to compensate for this shortcoming. Therefore, in this paper, we discuss on the importance of the variables affecting the FDI absorption in Iran during the period 1981-2016 using fuzzy regression with emphasis on the role of income tax. The results of the research show that income tax has a small effect on Iran's FDI absorption with a negative and negligible fuzzy coefficient. Further, income tax is not considered as the main determinant factor in attracting foreign investment in Iran. Also, economic factors such as GDP, commercial openness, human capital and population have a positive effect and inflation and exchange rates have a negative effect on FDI inflows in Iran.
Economic Growth
farhad ghalambaz; Ali Souri; Ghahraman Abdoli; Mohsen Ebrahimi
Abstract
Investigation of factors that affect economic growth has been always attractive. Foreign direct investment is one of the variables that have potential effects on growth. This study carried out to investigate the impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth. We consider the role of natural resources ...
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Investigation of factors that affect economic growth has been always attractive. Foreign direct investment is one of the variables that have potential effects on growth. This study carried out to investigate the impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth. We consider the role of natural resources using panel threshold regression model for 1996 to 2015 period and also emphasis on relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Iran by Markov Switching Approach for 1976-2015. Panel threshold regression model formed based on Hansen’s (1999) suggested model then that estimated by Wang’s (2015) proposed method for fixed effect models. Results of threshold regression model showed that natural resources, domestic capital formation, population growth rate and governance indicator has statistically significant effect on economic growth. Threshold level for natural resources is 28.58 percentages. Foreign direct investment variable has different effect on economic growth in regimes. In first regime foreign direct investment increase economic growth but in second regime, that natural resources is more than threshold level, it decrease growth rate. Results of tow regimes Auto-Regressive Markov Switching model for Iran showed that foreign direct investment in recession regime is insignificant but this variable in boom regime has statistically significant effect and this relationship is negative.
Economic Growth
Majid Feshari
Volume 8, Issue 31 , June 2018, , Pages 135-150
Abstract
The investigation of relationship between real exchange rate volatility regime and FDI is one of the main issues in macroeconomics and has been considered empirically in recent years. Economic activity in the world and in every moment of life is faced with a variety of risks and uncertainty. Through ...
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The investigation of relationship between real exchange rate volatility regime and FDI is one of the main issues in macroeconomics and has been considered empirically in recent years. Economic activity in the world and in every moment of life is faced with a variety of risks and uncertainty. Through of the uncertainty, it can be noted that the phenomenon of real exchange rate risk. This study intends to investigate the impact of real exchange rate fluctuations on foreign direct investment with annual data and during the 1974-2016, by using a Markov Switching on Iran deal. The results suggest that, real GDP as an indicator of the size of economy and trade openness have a positive and significant effect, real exchange rate has a positive impact on foreign direct investment in Iran. Hence, the decreasing of real exchange rate volatility through the control of domestic price fluctuations especially in the situation of high volatility is the main policy implication of this study to emprovement of FDI in Iran.
Economic Growth
Teymour Rahmani; sima Motamedi
Volume 8, Issue 30 , April 2018, , Pages 117-132
Abstract
The relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth is an issue that has always been of importance for economists. It is believed that foreign direct investment (FDI) is necessary to promote economic growth and capital formation in every country, particularly in the developing countries. ...
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The relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth is an issue that has always been of importance for economists. It is believed that foreign direct investment (FDI) is necessary to promote economic growth and capital formation in every country, particularly in the developing countries. Since it has been discussed that FDI promotes economic growth not only by increasing the volume of financial funds and relaxing the constraint on investment financed by domestic savings but also by technology and management skills transfer from advanced economies to developing economies in the context of endogenous growth models, it is necessary to examine the effect of FDI on economic growth via the above mentioned channels. In this study, we examine the effects of FDI on capital formation, labor productivity and economic growth. We try to test the hypothesis that FDI helps economic growth in developing countries not only via capital formation but also via the increase in productivity. To test this hypothesis, we use a panel data approach in a simultaneous equations system including three equations and three groups consisting of 111 developing countries over the time period 1995-2013. Our method of estimation is 2SLS. Our results show that in the sample we have examined, productivity has a higher effect on economic growth than capital formation. Therefore, the hypothesis that “FDI, by increasing productivity, has a positive effect on economic growth” is not rejected.
International Commerce
Omolbanin Jalali; Habib Ansari Samani; Madjid Hatefi Madjumerd
Volume 8, Issue 29 , December 2017, , Pages 157-174
Abstract
The aim of this study at first is to study the effective factors of FDI and then the estimation of these effects during 1983-2014. In this regard the causality relationship between FDI and political risk, GDP, trade openness index, inflation and exchange rate, has been investigated through Hsiao and ...
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The aim of this study at first is to study the effective factors of FDI and then the estimation of these effects during 1983-2014. In this regard the causality relationship between FDI and political risk, GDP, trade openness index, inflation and exchange rate, has been investigated through Hsiao and Toda-Yamamoto tests. Then using a smooth transition regression model, the effect of determinants of foreign direct investment will estimated. In addition, results show that political risk, GDP and exchange rate are statistical cause of FDI, but trade openness index and inflation have no significant effect on foreign direct investment. In addition, the nonlinearity of model was also verified. The model showed that the FDI function can be investigated in the form of a structure with a two regime with threshold value of $ 2,000 million. Political risk in both regimes has a negative effect on foreign direct investment, but with the arrival to high regime, the sensitivity will be reduced. This relationship between the GDP and FDI is opposite.
s
Hassan Daliri
Volume 7, Issue 26 , February 2017, , Pages 81-96
Abstract
On the theoretical front the literature on the linkage between FDI and domestic investment is ambiguous. This paper investigates whether foreign direct investment crowds in or crowds out domestic investment in the world. Our data analysis covers 136 of the world countries for the period 2000-2013. This ...
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On the theoretical front the literature on the linkage between FDI and domestic investment is ambiguous. This paper investigates whether foreign direct investment crowds in or crowds out domestic investment in the world. Our data analysis covers 136 of the world countries for the period 2000-2013. This paper uses panel VAR model and we have four samples of countries: 1- total sample (136 countries) 2- OECD member (31 countries) 3- low income (20 countries) 4- OPEC member (10 countries). In addition, the same link in Iran in the period 1990-2014 were analyzed separately. Our main conclusion is that FDI has positive impact on domestic investment in OECD member and OPEC member states but has negetive impact on domestic investment in low income contries. Also, domestic investment has positive impact on FDI in OECD, Low income and total countries and negetive impact in OPEC members.
بازار سرمایه
mohammad doudangi
Volume 6, Issue 23 , May 2016, , Pages 147-131
Abstract
The investments are represented as a driving force in economic theory and continual, stable and essential economic growth is a necessary condition for social-economic development. The increase of investments volume leads to growth of production, income, value added, wealth, employment and reduction of ...
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The investments are represented as a driving force in economic theory and continual, stable and essential economic growth is a necessary condition for social-economic development. The increase of investments volume leads to growth of production, income, value added, wealth, employment and reduction of poverty level. The issue of capital and investment in the economic development is of special importance, therefore, in order to achieve an advanced and dynamic economy, governments have paid special attention to the matter through enactment and enforcement of certain laws and regulations, provision of necessary infrastructures, optimal use of the resources, facilities, capacities, capabilities as well as application of scientific and logical management so as to pave the way for further development of their respective countries and communities. The main goal of this article is to analyse internal and foreign investment’s attraction problems and difficulties and propose suitable solutions. The main scientific results of the research are: - It is shown that oil prices and oil incomes fluctuations, international sanctions, foreign exchange rates fluctuations and high inflation rate, have lead to increase FDI in Iran. Despite these positive tendencies the attraction level of FDI is still on the insufficient level. - The evaluation results of econometric models showed the effects of national income, GDP, government expenses, inflation rate, openness degree of economy, human capital and FDI on the total volume of investments. As a result of research, new approaches were developed. The results represented in this article can be used in the programs aimed at improving an investment environment in Iran and in the countries with the similar problems. Also, respective legislative reforms is necessary to improve FDI in Iran.
Mahdi Shahraki; Simin Ghaderi
Volume 5, Issue 19 , June 2015, , Pages 136-115
Abstract
Infrastructures are one of the most important tools for transferring technology from developed countries to developing ones. These infrastructures will also increase the economic activities; decrease the production and transportation costs, and finally increase the efficiency. Thus, they can affect the ...
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Infrastructures are one of the most important tools for transferring technology from developed countries to developing ones. These infrastructures will also increase the economic activities; decrease the production and transportation costs, and finally increase the efficiency. Thus, they can affect the economic growth. This study investigates the direct and indirect effects of education and health, and economic infrastructures on the economic growth of Iran from 1980 to 2011. To that end, an equation system was designed which uses 2SLS. The findings showed that one percent increase in the education and health infrastructures will increase GDP by 0.06, and increase the foreign direct investment by 0.03. The indirect effect of improving education and health infrastructures on economic growth via foreign investment is 0.06 while export can bring about a 0.02 increase in economic growth.
Mohammadreza Nasiri Nezhad; Hossein Ostadi; Amir Hortamani
Volume 4, Issue 14 , May 2014, , Pages 38-29
Abstract
No country today without the active participation in international trade and the global economy can not reach its proper development. The challenge currently facing developing countries including Iran is how the international activities of the company are effective. Economic development will be achieved ...
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No country today without the active participation in international trade and the global economy can not reach its proper development. The challenge currently facing developing countries including Iran is how the international activities of the company are effective. Economic development will be achieved due to the increasing volume and variety of exports and attract foreign direct investment and thus increasing export competitiveness. Therefore, in this study, the impact of taxes on attracting foreign direct investment has been examined. Panel data approach for the years 1995-2012 is used in this study. Variables include GDP, the degree of trade openness, education, population, exchange rate and inflation rate. Based on the findings of the study, exchange rate, inflation rate and taxes have a negative impact on attracting foreign direct investment and variable of trade openness, population and GDP have a positive impact. It is observed that Indonesia with higher growth in attracted investment has lower tax rates than other D-8 countries in different years.
Zahra Jalili
Volume 4, Issue 13 , January 2014, , Pages 42-29
Abstract
An increase in production and economic growth leads to more and better opportunities for economic prosperity and enter to new scope. Exports, as one of the sources of national income can lead to the GDP growth, and foreign investment as the largest source of external finance in developing countries with ...
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An increase in production and economic growth leads to more and better opportunities for economic prosperity and enter to new scope. Exports, as one of the sources of national income can lead to the GDP growth, and foreign investment as the largest source of external finance in developing countries with positive spillover effects, provides economic growth conditions. Considering the economic monoculture and oil-export-based for countries in the MENA region, and the potential in the region to attract foreign investment, this paper investigates the relationship between non-oil exports and foreign direct investment with economic growth in the MENA region over the period 2000-2010 using GMM panel data approach. The results suggested a significant positive effect of non-oil exports and foreign direct investment on economic growth in the countries which were the focus of the study. Therefore, it is suggested that for development of non-oil exports, the structure of domestic production should be changed in such a way to provide the opportunity to enter in global markets and consider the comparative advantage as well as competitive advantage in production structure. For development of domestic production capacity, it is necessary to set conditions to attract foreign investment to overcome obstacles in attracting this kind of investment.
