OPEC
Reihaneh Larijani; Seyed Kamal Sadeghi; Zahra Karimi Takanlu; Reza Ranjpur
Abstract
This study has been used to investigate the effect of oil price fluctuations on the banking system and how it is related to the macroeconomics, using the quality of bank fragility introduced by Kibritçioglu (2003) and the selection auto regression method with the Markov switching model.Since fluctuating ...
Read More
This study has been used to investigate the effect of oil price fluctuations on the banking system and how it is related to the macroeconomics, using the quality of bank fragility introduced by Kibritçioglu (2003) and the selection auto regression method with the Markov switching model.Since fluctuating and unstable economic conditions have an impact on economic conditions and the banking system to detect the effect of oil prices, using the variables of fragility index and oil price, currency growth rate and GDP growth rate, the vector auto regression model with Markov switching (MSH(3)-VAR(1)) and seasonal data from 2004 to 2019 have been evaluated.The results show that the oil price shock in the stable regime causes a smaller change in the value of the fragility index compared to the other two regimes, and with the increase in GDP, it improves the economic conditions and the banking system. On the other hand, in the regime with moderate risk, the oil price fluctuation causes an increase in bank fragility, but due to the effect of the oil price shock on the increase in GDP and the decrease in the exchange rate, it has the ability to become a stable regime. While the occurrence of oil price shock in a high-risk regime causes economic conditions to worsen and its reciprocal effect on the banking system.
Seyed Kamal Sadeghi; Zahra Karimi Takanlou; Mohammad Ali Motefakker Azad; Hossein Asgharpour Ghourchi; Yaghoub Andayesh
Volume 5, 17(2) , October 2015, , Pages 30-13
Abstract
In recent decades the more releaseing emissions from energy consumption, have had more damaging effects on the environment. The share of some of the manufacturing sectors have been more than other sectors and may vary from one country to another one. However, each country have the capacity to absorb ...
Read More
In recent decades the more releaseing emissions from energy consumption, have had more damaging effects on the environment. The share of some of the manufacturing sectors have been more than other sectors and may vary from one country to another one. However, each country have the capacity to absorb pollutants by its biological status. Carbon, Methane and Nitrous Oxide are the most important greenhouse gases that are emitted more than their biological potentials having harmful effects on the environment. In this paper, the footprint of these gases of agriculture sub-sectors is studied by using Social Accounting Matrix 1390. The results indicate that the total Carbon footprint, Methane and Nitrous Oxide are respectively 646 million tons, 51 thousand tons and 12 thousand tons and the share of agriculture sectors are 10.2 percent, 10.5 percent and 17 percent.Sub-sectors of wheat and animal husbandry have the biggest footprints.
Mohammadali Motafakker Azad; Zahra Karimi Takanlo; Mohammadreza Salmani Bishak; Elnaz Hasan Nezhad Daneshmand
Volume 5, Issue 17 , December 2014, , Pages 48-23
Abstract
In recent decades, the process of globalization and its effects have resulted in movements on the side of ethnic minorities, called ethnic conflicts and ethnic tensions in developing countries particularly in those with ethnic varieties. On the other hand, increase in social and political awareness leads ...
Read More
In recent decades, the process of globalization and its effects have resulted in movements on the side of ethnic minorities, called ethnic conflicts and ethnic tensions in developing countries particularly in those with ethnic varieties. On the other hand, increase in social and political awareness leads to reinforced morale and solidarity towards common national preferences and interests besides an increased plea for pacifism and social and political equilibrium on the side of minorities. As a consequence, this new stable and peaceful status will pave the path for economic growth as a results of which access to social and economic rights will be facilitated and injustice will decrease. Finally, the foregoing results will lead to decreased violence and conflicts and the provision of more facilities under this new air of mutual understanding. In this study, we examined the effect of economic –social variables on ethnic tensions in selected 11 countries of the MENA (Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Tunisia and the United Arab Emirates) by using panel data for (1984-2009) period. Results show that economic - social variables (unemployment, inflation, income inequality) have positive significant effects on ethnic conflicts. On the other side, economic growth has negative significant effect on ethnic conflict.
