Monetary policy
.. ...; . ...; fatemeh zandi; .. ...
Abstract
Since the infrastructure of growth and development has not been formed in the developing and oil-producing countries, and also the private sector does not have the power to operate in this field due to institutional reasons, weak financial and sometimes technical ability, among the factors affecting ...
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Since the infrastructure of growth and development has not been formed in the developing and oil-producing countries, and also the private sector does not have the power to operate in this field due to institutional reasons, weak financial and sometimes technical ability, among the factors affecting macroeconomic indicators. In these countries, government spending is more important, which affects the general planning process regarding the allocation of consumption and capital budgets to each of the economic activities. The purpose of this research is to investigate the effects of consumption and capital spending impulses The government is under Taylor's two rules of money and the growth of the money supply. To achieve this goal, a general equilibrium model of stochastic dynamics based on the new Keynesian view has been designed using the available information and statistics of Iran's economy during the period of 1370-1399 according to the realities of Iran's economy. Comparing the results obtained from the simulation in two separate models shows that there is not much difference between the interest rate tool and the growth rate of money to influence the variables of the real sector of the economy. On the other hand, in order to influence the non-real variables in the face of the mentioned impulses, the growth rate of the money volume has performed better than the interest rate.
Monetary Shocks
Niloofar Sadat Hosseini; Hossein Asgharpur
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to study Taylor's theory and investigating the effect of monetary shocks on macroeconomic variables assuming the degree of exchange rate pass-through in different inflationary environments. In this study, the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for a small open economy ...
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The purpose of this study is to study Taylor's theory and investigating the effect of monetary shocks on macroeconomic variables assuming the degree of exchange rate pass-through in different inflationary environments. In this study, the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for a small open economy has been used. In this framework, effects of monetary shock were investigated in Iran during 1988:1˗2014:4. and the inflation regimes and the degree of exchange rate pass-through have been investigated using a smooth transmission regression model. The empirical findings show that Taylor's hypothesis is confirmed. In other hands, the degree of exchange rate pass-through is high in an economy with high inflation. Due to a monetary shock, volatility of macroeconomic variables is high, assuming a high degree of exchange rate pass-through in the inflationary environments.
s
davood farhadi; hossein ali danesh; Habib Ansari Samani; Hadi keshavarz
Abstract
Over the past decades, the economies of the world have continually experienced economic fluctuations, business cycles, and cycles of boom and recession. Fiscal rules are one of the most important tools of the government with the goal of stabilizing and reducing fluctuations during the business cycle. ...
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Over the past decades, the economies of the world have continually experienced economic fluctuations, business cycles, and cycles of boom and recession. Fiscal rules are one of the most important tools of the government with the goal of stabilizing and reducing fluctuations during the business cycle. It is always the minds of many policymakers who are involved in the question of how a policy should be considered during a period of boom or recession. In fact, policy makers are confronted with the question of whether fiscal rules should be used during business cycles. In response to this question, the present study uses a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model and modeling the National Development Fund to scenario in two modes of applying counterycyclical fiscal rule and its non-implementation. The findings of the study showed that, in the case of petty impacts, a counterycyclical fiscal rule based on oil revenues has reduced the intensity of fluctuations of macroeconomic variables compared to the absence of a fiscal rule. Also, in the case of monetary impulse, there is not a significant difference in the effectiveness of the implementation of the fiscal rules or its non-implementation.
Mohammad Hassan Fotros; Hossein Tavakolian; Reza Maaboudi
Volume 5, Issue 19 , June 2015, , Pages 94-73
Abstract
This paper studies impacts of monetary and fiscal shocks on macroeconomic variables in Iran. For this purpose, a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach is employed to sketch an appropriate model for Iranian economy. To calculate the required coefficients, data of the period 1961-2012 released ...
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This paper studies impacts of monetary and fiscal shocks on macroeconomic variables in Iran. For this purpose, a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach is employed to sketch an appropriate model for Iranian economy. To calculate the required coefficients, data of the period 1961-2012 released by the Central Bank of Iran are gathered. In order to take in consideration the Iranian economic characteristics, oil revenues, sticky prices, monetary policy, fiscal policy, and technology are considered in the model. Results indicate that technological shocks increase non oil production, private investment consumption, and GDP. So, technological shocks increase economic growth and reduce inflation. Increase in oil revenues promotes non-oil production, private consumption, government expenditure, and private investment. So, in short run, the impact of oil shock on economic growth is positive. But oil shock increases inflation via an increase in money base. Monetary shocks (increase in money base) increase internal consumption and money liquidity (the inflation) and somehow the GDP. But, monetary shocks have small effects on the non oil production. In sum, monetary shock has a small positive impact on economic growth. So, in short run, money neutrality hypothesis cannot be retained. Also, government expenditure shock increases government expenditures, private consumption, and decreases private investment. In sum, government expenditure shock has a positive effect on production, inflation and economic growth.
