Energy
Davood Manzoor; Vahid Aryanpur
Volume 8, Issue 30 , April 2018, , Pages 67-82
Abstract
This paper mainly focuses on the development of electricity supply system in Iran. A bottom-up energy system model is employed to identify the optimal generation mix. The model minimizes the total system costs using linear mix-integer programming under a set of technical, economic and environmental constraints. ...
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This paper mainly focuses on the development of electricity supply system in Iran. A bottom-up energy system model is employed to identify the optimal generation mix. The model minimizes the total system costs using linear mix-integer programming under a set of technical, economic and environmental constraints. Then, the optimal generation mix is compared with the actual transition pathway during the planning horizon. The comparison of historical development trend with the optimal scenario (model results) indicates that: 1- The average efficiency of thermal power plants is 4.5 percent lower than the optimal conditions, 2- Optimal pathway could save 90 billion cubic meters of natural gas and prevent CO2 emissions of 400 million tonnes over the study period, and 3- The annual additional costs of $630 million was imposed due to lack of funding.
