Economic Growth
aliasghar baharloo; Syed Abdulmajid Jalaee Esfandabadi; Mohsen Zayandeh Roodi
Abstract
Considering the role of capital as one of the most important factors which can affect production, job creation, and productive activities, this study was an attempt to investigate factors which can influence investment and the way they do so. To this end, this study benefitted from a dynamic computable ...
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Considering the role of capital as one of the most important factors which can affect production, job creation, and productive activities, this study was an attempt to investigate factors which can influence investment and the way they do so. To this end, this study benefitted from a dynamic computable general equilibrium model approach to simulate the effects of technology spillovers on economic and welfare variables involved in the investment of Iranian private sector in the country's economy. Accordingly, the study focused on changes in the production index of different economic sectors of Iran and changes in the consumption and price levels in the form of four different scenarios, namely doubling foreign direct investment, improving productivity through technology spillovers by using a coefficient of 0.0062, increasing import of capital and intermediate goods by 20%, and simultaneous application of the aforementioned three scenarios by using the 2013 Social Accounting Matrix for Iran. the results revealed, application of the first scenario can lead to an increase in the level of private sector investment in all the 14 sectors of Iran's economy and cause production growth. Moreover, application of the third scenario can cause the investment level of private sector to decrease. Finally, consideration of the fourth scenario, as compared to the other three scenarios, can be accompanied by a more considerable increase in the levels of production, private sector investment, household consumption, export, import, and thus households' welfare.
Dynamic Panel Data
Ebrahim Abdi; Farhad Khodadad Kashi; Yeganeh Mousavi Jahromi
Abstract
Over the past two decades, significant changes have taken place in the banking market power in Iran economy. In addition, economic theories provide different forecasts on the impact of banking market power on firms’ investment. For this reason, the present study examines the impact of these changes ...
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Over the past two decades, significant changes have taken place in the banking market power in Iran economy. In addition, economic theories provide different forecasts on the impact of banking market power on firms’ investment. For this reason, the present study examines the impact of these changes on firms’ investment. For this purpose, using the data of Tehran Stock Exchange companies during the period of 2005 to 2016, the investment model was estimated based on Euler's equations and dynamic generalized method of moments. The results of model estimation with confirming the existence of financial friction in Iran economy showed that firms faced financial constraint on investment. In addition, by rejecting market power hypothesis and by confirming asymmetric information hypothesis, the results showed that the declining in banking market power led to an increase in firms' financial constraints. The results also suggest that the firm size has been affecting the firm financial constraints, and increasing in the banking market power has reduced the financial constraints of small firms more than large firms. The results of model estimation with regard to the effect of business cycles indicate that during the boom period, the positive effect of the banking market power on firms' financial constraints has decreased and this effect increases during the recession period.
بازار سرمایه
Mahboubeh Jafari
Abstract
Using Markov Switching model, this paper studies the nonlinear effect of oil price volatility on investment in Iran as an oil-rich country for the period 1984:1-2015:4. More specifically, it examines whether the oil price volatility has asymmetric effect on investment. To approach this goal, volatility ...
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Using Markov Switching model, this paper studies the nonlinear effect of oil price volatility on investment in Iran as an oil-rich country for the period 1984:1-2015:4. More specifically, it examines whether the oil price volatility has asymmetric effect on investment. To approach this goal, volatility of OPEC oil price is estimated by Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model.The results of Markov-switching model with FTP approach indicate that the effects of oil shocks on investment behavior are separable into two regimes. In other words, the impacts of oil shocks on investment in Iran economy over the booms and recessions are asymmetric. Moreover, our finding shows sanctions imposed by the US against Iran affect investment behavior negatively. We also find that 2008 financial crisis doesn’t affect investment decision. Furthermore, we find out that an improvement in the institutional quality enhances the investment demand. Our findings might have important policy implications for government in Iran. It also provide essential information for companies.
بازار سرمایه
mohammad doudangi
Volume 6, Issue 23 , May 2016, , Pages 147-131
Abstract
The investments are represented as a driving force in economic theory and continual, stable and essential economic growth is a necessary condition for social-economic development. The increase of investments volume leads to growth of production, income, value added, wealth, employment and reduction of ...
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The investments are represented as a driving force in economic theory and continual, stable and essential economic growth is a necessary condition for social-economic development. The increase of investments volume leads to growth of production, income, value added, wealth, employment and reduction of poverty level. The issue of capital and investment in the economic development is of special importance, therefore, in order to achieve an advanced and dynamic economy, governments have paid special attention to the matter through enactment and enforcement of certain laws and regulations, provision of necessary infrastructures, optimal use of the resources, facilities, capacities, capabilities as well as application of scientific and logical management so as to pave the way for further development of their respective countries and communities. The main goal of this article is to analyse internal and foreign investment’s attraction problems and difficulties and propose suitable solutions. The main scientific results of the research are: - It is shown that oil prices and oil incomes fluctuations, international sanctions, foreign exchange rates fluctuations and high inflation rate, have lead to increase FDI in Iran. Despite these positive tendencies the attraction level of FDI is still on the insufficient level. - The evaluation results of econometric models showed the effects of national income, GDP, government expenses, inflation rate, openness degree of economy, human capital and FDI on the total volume of investments. As a result of research, new approaches were developed. The results represented in this article can be used in the programs aimed at improving an investment environment in Iran and in the countries with the similar problems. Also, respective legislative reforms is necessary to improve FDI in Iran.
Zahra Amiri; Seyedeh Mahboobeh Mozaffari Khoshrodi; Mohammad Kavoosi Kalashami
Volume 5, 17(2) , October 2015, , Pages 102-91
Abstract
Unemployment had been one of the important challenges of recently decade in Iran,s economy. Food and drinking industry discharge the most important role in employment of industrial products of the country. In spite of large number of workforce in the agricultural sector, job creation potential is low ...
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Unemployment had been one of the important challenges of recently decade in Iran,s economy. Food and drinking industry discharge the most important role in employment of industrial products of the country. In spite of large number of workforce in the agricultural sector, job creation potential is low in Mazandaran province so, development of non-agricultural sector should be prioritized in the region. In this province the high level of investment and employee are on these industries. This research wants to study the effect of employment in food and drinking industries, from the number of these industries and in Mazandaran province. Time series statistical data of employment (EM), number of firms (NF), the real investment (RIC), and payment to other inputs (ROIC) are used for 1991-2010. The methodology of research based on Fomby, for selection of suitable model, cause to estimate vector error correction model. The results acquired from Johansen and Juselius test show existence of long term equilibrium relation within these variables. Also results of vector error correction model show that in long term, if RIC and NF change one percent, employment increase by %0.139 and %2.329, but ROIC will decrease employment by %0.258.
Zivar Asadi; Javid Bahrami; Reza Talebloo
Volume 3, Issue 10 , June 2013, , Pages 26-9
Abstract
This paper evaluates the role played by financial development in economic growth, and also, the effect of economic growth on financial development of thirty six oil vis-à-vis nonoil economies during 1982-2011. Based on a panel of 5- years averages, we apply System Generalized Method of Moments ...
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This paper evaluates the role played by financial development in economic growth, and also, the effect of economic growth on financial development of thirty six oil vis-à-vis nonoil economies during 1982-2011. Based on a panel of 5- years averages, we apply System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) to estimate the dynamic equations. The estimation results show that financial development plays a crucial role in the efficiency of investment, and thus, in performance of those economies. However the quality of financial institutions varies significantly between oil and nonoil countries. Another important result is that, despite of relatively high level of investment in oil economies, the quality of investment is really poor. This suggests that it is not the level of investment on its own but the quality of investment which is important. The high level of investment should be accompanied by a well developed financial system which channels financial resources away from less production projects. We also find that, the positive effect of per capita income on financial development is smaller in oil economies, and that, the real exchange rate is among the determinants of financial development in those economies.
Mohammad Ali Ehsani; Yaser Khatibi
Volume 2, Issue 8 , December 2012, , Pages 82-69
Abstract
Capital accumulation is a key factor in economic growth and interest rate is a policy instrument in capital accumulation.In Iran economy, goverment imposes interest rate ceiling in fevored sectors.In this paper , a system of equations including saving and investment function are regressed via (3SLS). ...
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Capital accumulation is a key factor in economic growth and interest rate is a policy instrument in capital accumulation.In Iran economy, goverment imposes interest rate ceiling in fevored sectors.In this paper , a system of equations including saving and investment function are regressed via (3SLS). We conclude that an increase in interest rate increase investment and then mckinnon-shaw hypothesis is not rejected.
