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yazdan gudarzi farahani; Mohsen Mehrara; Zoleikha Morsali Arzanagh; ebrahim abbasi
Abstract
The purpose of this paper was to investigated the effects of uncertainty of economic policies in business cycles on macroeconomic variables. In this study, a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach and statistical data for the period 1989-2022 have been used. In this study, based on the analysis ...
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The purpose of this paper was to investigated the effects of uncertainty of economic policies in business cycles on macroeconomic variables. In this study, a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach and statistical data for the period 1989-2022 have been used. In this study, based on the analysis of the period of boom and recession, the shock from the uncertainty component of economic policy in this period was investigated on macroeconomic variables. The results show that during the boom period, the effects of economic policy uncertainty shock on variables such as production, investment, and consumption were less than during the recession period, and during the recession period, the negative effect of this shock on the mentioned variables was more severe. In addition to this, the effect of economic policy uncertainty shock on the variables of inflation rate, interest rate and exchange rate has also been positive during economic boom and recession and has led to an increase in these nominal variables.
