OPEC
Hoda Zobeiri; Mani Motameni; Atefeh Raeisi
Abstract
Natural resource rents theoretically can stimulate entrepreneurship as a production inputs. In other hands, natural resource rents can change intensives of potential entrepreneurs, reduce opportunity driven entrepreneurship and increase necessity driven entrepreneurship. However, necessity driven entrepreneurship ...
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Natural resource rents theoretically can stimulate entrepreneurship as a production inputs. In other hands, natural resource rents can change intensives of potential entrepreneurs, reduce opportunity driven entrepreneurship and increase necessity driven entrepreneurship. However, necessity driven entrepreneurship is not an unproductive activity, but its impact on economic growth and development is very different from entrepreneurial activities that are based on innovative ideas and technologies which determine the productive capabilities of an economy. This paper has examined the effect of natural resource rents on opportunity driven entrepreneurship and necessity driven entrepreneurship in 45 selected countries during 2008-2017 using GMM. The results show that natural resource rents have significant negative impact on opportunity entrepreneurship while it has significant positive impact on necessity entrepreneurship. Based on the results, oil rents managements along with control of corruption and improve institutional framework are necessary to increase opportunity entrepreneurship in oil rich countries.
NASER ELAHI; Elahe Masoomzadeh; seyedziaadin kiaalhosseini; seyed Hadi arabi
Abstract
Consideration of regional systems as a way of managing national security barriers along with peaceful economic relations are achieved in the regionalization process. One of these agreements is the Eurasian Economic Union. The present study inspects the potential impact of the trade agreement between ...
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Consideration of regional systems as a way of managing national security barriers along with peaceful economic relations are achieved in the regionalization process. One of these agreements is the Eurasian Economic Union. The present study inspects the potential impact of the trade agreement between Iran and the Eurasian Economic Union on export sectors of industry and agriculture using the gravity model over 2001-2018.The results demonstrate the positive effect of the mean variables of GDP and FDI on exports from Iran to Eurasia in industry and agriculture and indicate the negative effect of the variables on product deriving from multiplication of population, tariff rate and real exchange rate with exports. The elimination of trade tariffs between Iran and Eurasia can benefit various sectors of Iran's economy, and this benefit is further enhanced when the industry sector tariff is removed.Economic policymakers should consider the economic implications of this agreement for success. If the agricultural sector is faced with import restrictions, it will most likely have negative effects and this option could be deemed as an inappropriate policy in agreement with the Eurasia. The creation of a joint financial mechanism for internal exchanges between Iran and the Eurasia, the formation of a database of Member States' traders for Iranian economic activists, the issuance of business visas among Member States and the establishment of a Eurasian Joint Chamber could enhance Iran's trade with Eurasia in the sector and it can be beneficial to exporting industry and agriculture.
s
Leila Gholami Heidariani; Reza Ranjpour; Firoz Fallahi
Abstract
In this study, we investigate the relationship between stocks cycles and business cycles in Iran, using the spillover index approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 59). The dynamic interaction between financial cycles and business cycles is used by rolling window estimation and spillover plots. We use ...
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In this study, we investigate the relationship between stocks cycles and business cycles in Iran, using the spillover index approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 59). The dynamic interaction between financial cycles and business cycles is used by rolling window estimation and spillover plots. We use data of GDP cycles as business cycle and also data of total stock price index, the stock price index in industry and the stock price index in finance based on quarterly data during 1998Q3-2018Q1. We have investigated the relationship between business cycle and stocks cycles along with exchange rate, oil incomes and liquidity. The results show that the total spillovers index increases in during periods of economic recessions. Also, the business cycle, oil cycle and exchange rate cycle are more impressionable market and the total stock, industry stock, finance cycle and liquidity cycle are more influential market than other markets.
tourism demand
Parviz Mohammadzadeh; Davood Behbudi; Majid Feshari; Siab Mamipour
Volume 1, Issue 1 , January 2012, , Pages 132-107
Abstract
The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the foreign tourism demand for Iran during 1971-2005. This study proposes a new methodology – the time varying parameter (TVP) approach – to tourism demand modeling. To that end, the behavioral change of tourists over time is traced using the ...
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The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the foreign tourism demand for Iran during 1971-2005. This study proposes a new methodology – the time varying parameter (TVP) approach – to tourism demand modeling. To that end, the behavioral change of tourists over time is traced using the Kalman filter approach. Findings show that the income elasticity, price elasticity and habit formation have a regular declining trend over time. The elasticity of tourism demand with respect to the world per capita income is greater than that of the "cost of living" and "habit formation" indicators. The foreign tourism appears to be a normal good and inelastic to the domestic prices. In addition, tourism demand has decreased significantly during the Iran-Iraq war period.
Farhad khodadad Kashi; Khalil heydari
Volume 1, Issue 2 , January 2012, , Pages 133-113
Abstract
In the history of human societies, Education Institution has been thought of a key factor in human life and development. In Iran, Both before and after Islam, Education and culture have been considered as fundamental tools for human life exaltation. In Islamic republic of Iran’s law, development ...
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In the history of human societies, Education Institution has been thought of a key factor in human life and development. In Iran, Both before and after Islam, Education and culture have been considered as fundamental tools for human life exaltation. In Islamic republic of Iran’s law, development of education and increasing social welfare are of particular interest. Many scholars believe that, one of the effective ways out of poverty is human capital development. The aim of this investigation is to assess the role of Education in Iranian households’ consumption behavior. To this end, the budget survey of Iranian statistical centre was used to calculate indices such as: share of education in Iranian households’ expenditure and income elasticity of education demand. The results of this study indicate that education is a necessary service. Another important finding is that education expenditure in urban areas is significantly more than rural areas
Seyyed Abdolmajid Jalayee; Omid sattari
Volume 1, Issue 4 , December 2012, , Pages 144-117
Abstract
Globalization, the process of considerable increase in international trade, global exchanges and markets’ integration as a fundamental characteristic, are emerging inevitably. Investigating the way in which this process affects economic variables, can be a guidance of decision making for policy ...
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Globalization, the process of considerable increase in international trade, global exchanges and markets’ integration as a fundamental characteristic, are emerging inevitably. Investigating the way in which this process affects economic variables, can be a guidance of decision making for policy makers. Considering structural economic differences between urban and rural societies in Iran and using 1350-1386 Iran’s economy dataset, first we compared the efficiency of VAR and VEC models with artificial neural network (ANN) approach in forecasting measure of income distribution inequality of urban societies and finally the best model (ANN) has used as an out-of-sample forecasting tool in different designed scenarios from 1387 to 1395. Choosing ANN model, decrease in urban societies’ income inequality during globalization process, is the main result.
Economic Growth
Sohrab Delangizan; Ali Falahati
Volume 1, Issue 3 , January 2012, , Pages 163-136
Abstract
One of the most important macroeconomic discussions is the effects of monetary policies on the real section of economy. With this respect, the present article investigates the asymmetric or symmetric effects of monetary shocks on the economic growth of Iran. In this article, the relevant model extracted ...
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One of the most important macroeconomic discussions is the effects of monetary policies on the real section of economy. With this respect, the present article investigates the asymmetric or symmetric effects of monetary shocks on the economic growth of Iran. In this article, the relevant model extracted from macroeconomic literature of money in Iran's economy is being examined. The results demonstrate that money isn’t neutral in Iran's economy and the effects of monetary policies on growth of Iran's economy are asymmetric. The negative monetary shocks influence the economic growth more than the positive monetary shocks; so that the negative monetary shocks in boom cycles and the positive monetary shocks in recession cycles have more significant effect on the economic growth. According to the result, it can be demonstrated that the effects of monetary shocks on economic growth is larger and more asymmetric if the shocks are bigger, and the lower the monetary shocks, the less the effects, consequently the asymmetry of negative and positive shocks will be slight. Also there are information gaps between economic makers so that the expectations are not formed rationally in Iran. So according to the results, it can be concluded that Iran's economy is in agreement with the Keynesian economics.
Yadollah Dadgar; Rouhollah Nazari
Volume 2, Issue 6 , May 2012, , Pages 172-149
Abstract
One of the most well known methods for explaining the growth in public sector is Wagner's law, which explains the growth of government size. Wagner argues that the more per capita income in economy, the bigger would be the government size. Using panel data method, this paper is analyzing Wagner's law ...
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One of the most well known methods for explaining the growth in public sector is Wagner's law, which explains the growth of government size. Wagner argues that the more per capita income in economy, the bigger would be the government size. Using panel data method, this paper is analyzing Wagner's law for Iran and southeastern Asian countries .The results confirm the consistency of Wagner's law for both Iran and those selected countries.
Jahangir Biabani; Taghva Khosravi
Volume 2, Issue 5 , March 2012, , Pages 182-131
Abstract
In this study, the existence or non-existence of housing price bubble in Tehran is investigated by both econometric and graphical approaches during the period of 1992:Q2 to 2009:Q1. For this purpose, Poterba's model is combined with Tobin's Q theory, which provides us with an academic tool for analyzing ...
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In this study, the existence or non-existence of housing price bubble in Tehran is investigated by both econometric and graphical approaches during the period of 1992:Q2 to 2009:Q1. For this purpose, Poterba's model is combined with Tobin's Q theory, which provides us with an academic tool for analyzing the effects of supply and demand shocks on house price and also deviations from fundamental value of house price in the LR and SR. In econometric approach, by using the defined variables in Poterba's model as the effective factors on housing demand and Tobin's Q ratio as an effective criterion for housing supply, fundamental value of house price is estimated by Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and the residuals of ARDL model is then concerned as the "bubble component". Next, in graphical approach, by using second method of detecting price bubble namely deviation from LR average of some ratios like P/CC, P/R, P/Y and P/DM, their graphs are illustrated. The existence of two price bubbles in Tehran housing market in 1996-97 and 2007-08 is verified mainly in both methods. As well, findings show that all inflation, Tobin's Q ratio, real rent, number of households and housing stock are the determining elements of the fundamental value of house price in Tehran and these variables tend to long run equilibrium at a confidence level more than 95%.
masoud saadatmehr; Nasrin Mansori
Abstract
Iran's economy has been facing the phenomenon of inflation for many decades, which has been unbridled inflation in many periods. Therefore, in order to control the inflation rate, some policy makers are looking towards applying a contractionary monetary policy by increasing the required reserve rate. ...
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Iran's economy has been facing the phenomenon of inflation for many decades, which has been unbridled inflation in many periods. Therefore, in order to control the inflation rate, some policy makers are looking towards applying a contractionary monetary policy by increasing the required reserve rate. But this policy has been criticized due to the fact that it reduces production and economic growth and as a result creates recession in the economy. To what extent the increase in the required reserve rate with the aim of controlling inflation will reduce production and economic growth is a central question that the present research was made to answer. For this purpose, the system of simultaneous equations using the 3SLS method has been used. The data used in the present research is a time series of 1979-2018, which was collected from the database of the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The results showed that the variables of the required reserve rate and the excess reserve rate have a negative effect and the monetary base growth rate has a positive effect on the volume of money in Iran's economy. Also, the results showed that increasing the required reserve rate as a contractionary monetary policy can reduce the growth rate of the money volume and the inflation rate in the Iranian economy without changing the real production.
Mohammadreza Lali; Saeed Daei-Karimzadeh; Farzad Karimi
Abstract
Recent studies on complex networks in international trade show the number of partners; trade intensity, indirect trade connections and the central position of each partner in the trade network have significant effects on economic growth. The network analysis approach in investigating the effect of trade ...
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Recent studies on complex networks in international trade show the number of partners; trade intensity, indirect trade connections and the central position of each partner in the trade network have significant effects on economic growth. The network analysis approach in investigating the effect of trade on economic growth, unlike conventional methods, can identify and measure indirect trade relations (intermediary countries in trade) in international interactions. This research aims to investigate world trade centrality indicators’ effects on economic growth using panel data of 42 chosen countries of Asia and CIS, in two steps. At first, the weighted directional matrices of trade was made and then the centrality indices of the countries were calculated for the selected years according to a complex network approach. Then the effect of the aforementioned indices as an explanatory variable of trade on economic growth has been investigated, and these were compared with the effect of the trade openness index.The results of the research show that compared to the conventional indicator of the trade openness index, the centrality indicators of the world trade network show a better explanation of economic growth while having more effect. Among these, the closeness centrality (due to having a core role in the network and the entanglement of trade relations) and the eigenvector centrality (due to establishing relationships with countries that are connected with important partners in the network) have more effects on economic growth.
Seyed Nezamuddin Makiyan; Mehdi Emami Meybodi; Samaneh Eshraty; Zohreh Ahmadi
Volume 3, Issue 11 , September 2013, , Pages 84-75
Abstract
Many factors affect on the performance of economic activities. Some of these factors are out of the control which areknown in economic literature as Doing Business. Although this concept was used in economic history thought, but from the 1990s the literature of doing business has been concerned by governments ...
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Many factors affect on the performance of economic activities. Some of these factors are out of the control which areknown in economic literature as Doing Business. Although this concept was used in economic history thought, but from the 1990s the literature of doing business has been concerned by governments and international economic institutions. This study aims to investigate andcompare the most important factors, i.e.: starting a business, getting credit, protecting investors, paying taxes, trading across borders and enforcing contracts which improve the environment of doing business for growth.We examine such a factorsbetween MENA Islamic countries and the countries of OECD in the period of 2007-2012. The method which is used, is panel data regression analyses. Results indicate that the Islamic countries must have more attention to the factors of trading across borders and getting credit for improvement of ease of doing business.
Mohsen Tarafdar; Mohammad Mehdi Askari; Korion Grigoorian
Volume 6, 23(2) , September 2016, , Pages 88-73
Abstract
The shortage of irrigation water is one of the most important problems which Iran is facing it. Irrigation water pricing is one of the economic approaches to manage it and using efficiently. This paper's purpose is to evaluate the effect of irrigation water price induction on productivity of agriculture ...
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The shortage of irrigation water is one of the most important problems which Iran is facing it. Irrigation water pricing is one of the economic approaches to manage it and using efficiently. This paper's purpose is to evaluate the effect of irrigation water price induction on productivity of agriculture section in Iran (case: Kashan). This study is an application –development in terms of objective and is a post- event in terms of the study design and descriptive in terms of conclusion. The paper's results show that during study period (2006- 2010), irrigation water price has risen in kashan region. But this leads not only to increase average cultivated land per a farmer, but also, to increase crops and garden products monetary productivity. It means that Iranian government can use irrigation water price induction as a tool for increasing productivity in agriculture section in Iran. In addition, crops and garden products have different productivity. Results also show that dill and apricot have the highest productivity in among all crops and garden product in the region respectively.
Saeed i Rasekh; Milad Shahrazi; Mohamad Reza Abdollahi
Volume 2, Issue 7 , September 2012, , Pages 90-81
Abstract
This paper examines asymmetric impact of exchange rate and its risk (volatility) on Iran’s non oil export. The asymmetric effect indicates to differently affect exchange rate and its volatility on export at periods of exchange rate moving up and down. To test this hypothesis, we have first measured ...
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This paper examines asymmetric impact of exchange rate and its risk (volatility) on Iran’s non oil export. The asymmetric effect indicates to differently affect exchange rate and its volatility on export at periods of exchange rate moving up and down. To test this hypothesis, we have first measured the volatility by using exponential GARCH and then we’ve estimated the export equation including the volatility during time period 1959-2007. Based on the results, the effect of exchange rate on the export is positive and asymmetric. Also, the volatility of exchange rate has a negative and an asymmetric effect. So, the hypothesis is verified. This may be due to the asymmetric feeling of exporters about the risk and reflect their anti risk behavior. Based on the results, economic policy makers should make different policies while exchange rate moving down compared with its moving up in order to minimize the negative effects of the volatility.
Hassan Pourjavadkhah; Mohammad Sadegh Allahyari; Fatholah Keshavarz; Masoumeh Mohammadzadeh
Volume 5, 17(2) , October 2015, , Pages 90-81
Abstract
The purpose of this descriptive study was to assess the educational needs of rural youth on agricultural entrepreneurial activities in Guilan province. The statistical population of this study consisted of rural youth who were between 15-35 year old (N = 2598) and the sample size was determined by using ...
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The purpose of this descriptive study was to assess the educational needs of rural youth on agricultural entrepreneurial activities in Guilan province. The statistical population of this study consisted of rural youth who were between 15-35 year old (N = 2598) and the sample size was determined by using a minimum sample size table for given population by Bartlett et al. (n = 262). In order to assess the educational needs, a questionnaire based on Borich Model was used. Data analysis was performed using (SPSS18). The educational needs were analyzed and ranked using Mean Weighted Descriptive Scores (MWDS). Results showed that competencies such as “identifying principles of proper decision-making procedures” was noticed as the most important priority for education. Although, “identifying principles of proper establishment of home employment" was in the last rank in educational needs. MWDS indicated that all competencies were in the high level of needs. The findings of t and F-tests reveal that there were no significant differences between individual characteristics and contextual factors, while “local markets in the village or neighboring village” had a significant effect on educational needs (p < 0.05).
Ebrahim Moradi; Mosayeb Pahlavani; Ahmad Akbari
Volume 5, 17(3) , December 2015, , Pages 90-79
Abstract
Producers, who have lower efficiency in wheat production, can use the experiences of other producers and increase their efficiency over time. based on existing theories, probably producers with low initial levels of efficiency will have grown their efficiency faster than producers that have high levels ...
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Producers, who have lower efficiency in wheat production, can use the experiences of other producers and increase their efficiency over time. based on existing theories, probably producers with low initial levels of efficiency will have grown their efficiency faster than producers that have high levels of efficiency and a convergence over time will be between them. To investigate the convergence of cost efficiency, information on input prices, yield per hectare and production cost per hectare for irrigated wheat, were collected for 28 provinces in a 10-years period. By studying different methods of stochastic frontier cost function with panel data, "true random effects Model" of stochastic frontier method was selected. The model was estimated by using Simulation Halton method. Then Cost efficiency was calculated for each province. Beta and Sigma convergence test was conducted on cost efficiency. Results show that, changes of land rent (price) has the greatest impact and changes in the price of fertilizer per hectare has the lowest impact on production cost per hectare. Also, we find that There is Beta convergence (convergence of efficiency increase over initial levels) and Sigma convergence (convergence dispersion efficiency over time), between different provinces to improve cost efficiency in wheat production.
Mohammad Mowlaei; Oday Ali
Volume 8, Issue 31 , June 2018, , Pages 93-106
Abstract
Household consumption expenditures one of the main economic variables that reflect the households’ welfare level as well as stimulate aggregate demand and purpose of all production in the economy. Therefore, measuring the income shocks transmission to household consumption is critical for evaluation ...
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Household consumption expenditures one of the main economic variables that reflect the households’ welfare level as well as stimulate aggregate demand and purpose of all production in the economy. Therefore, measuring the income shocks transmission to household consumption is critical for evaluation the ability of consumption smoothing with income shocks or economic stability and hence, for designing stabilization, income-maintenance and optimal social policies in the aim to increasing purchasing power, preserving and promoting the welfare of households. According to the terms of stagflation in Iran economy over the past few years, this paper computes the degree of transmission of temporary and permanent income shocks to using the panel data on the income, meal consumption expenditures and other household characteristics (Age, gender, education, working status and marital status) gathered by Iranian urban and rural households’ expenditures and Income Surveys (HEIS) over the period 1388-1393. The results show that there is nearly complete insurance against temporary and permanent income during the period of study.
Asghar Abolhasani Hastiyani; Mohammad Hossein Pour Kazemi; Abolghaseme Asna Ashari Amiri; Mohammad Hossein EhsanFar
Volume 2, Issue 8 , December 2012, , Pages 94-83
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to determine the optimal time paths of economic variables such as production, inflation, money stock and government expenditures, and also sensitivity analysis of these paths. For this aim, a deterministic optimal control model is used. In this model, a quadratic objective ...
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The purpose of this paper is to determine the optimal time paths of economic variables such as production, inflation, money stock and government expenditures, and also sensitivity analysis of these paths. For this aim, a deterministic optimal control model is used. In this model, a quadratic objective functional, due to the constraint of dynamic macroeconomic equations system, will be minimized. In this method, the squared deviations of variables from their steady state values are weighted. Then, optimal paths of control and state variables are calculated by using Mathematica software. Optimization results indicate that if optimal policies are chosen, mentioned variables will considerably have less fluctuations. According to results of survey, analyzing the sensitivity of the model to policy weight emphasizes on inverse relationship between weight imposed by economic policy makers on the target variable, and standard deviation of values ofthe optimal paths for that variable. Also, this paper shows that mathematical economic models and techniques can be used in order to solve the problems of growth, production and inflation.
Monetarists
Amir Mansour Tehranchian
Volume 7, Issue 27 , July 2017, , Pages 95-110
Abstract
In this survey, the perfect capital mobility has been examined on the basis of saving incidence on gross capital formation in selected Asian countries during (2005-2012). For this aim, panel data based on generalized method of moments (GMM) is used to examine the model. The empirical results show that ...
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In this survey, the perfect capital mobility has been examined on the basis of saving incidence on gross capital formation in selected Asian countries during (2005-2012). For this aim, panel data based on generalized method of moments (GMM) is used to examine the model. The empirical results show that investment and savings changes are aligned in these countries and there is a positive relationship between them. According to empirical results, one percent rise in saving will increase investment by 0.03 percent. So, assumption of perfect immobility of capital is not rejected in this survey. Despite the fact that imperfect capital mobility can decrease the effect of global economy volatility on domestic economy, but still effectiveness and efficiency of macroeconomic fiscal policy should be considered. According to traditional method of Mundell-Fleming, not only exchange rate system can influence the degree of macroeconomic fiscal policy effectiveness, but also capital mobility can be effective too. So, strengthing the legal infrastructure of foreign capital absorbtion and assurance, and domestic financial market development and reducing foreign investment risk can be effecive in incresing the degree of capital mobility.
Income inequality
Mirnaser Mirbagheri Hir; siyamak shokohifard
Volume 7, Issue 25 , November 2016, , Pages 97-112
Abstract
The aim of this study is to evaluate the effect of financial development on income inequality and poverty in selected Islamic countries. The selected countries include: Iran, Indonesia, Jordan, Kuwait, Malaysia, Egypt, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and ...
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The aim of this study is to evaluate the effect of financial development on income inequality and poverty in selected Islamic countries. The selected countries include: Iran, Indonesia, Jordan, Kuwait, Malaysia, Egypt, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Libya. This study used the combined data methods to test the research hypotheses during the period 2000-2014. According to survey results, the coefficient of financial development in the Gini coefficient equation (-0.068) shows that financial sector development in Islamic countries has reduced income inequality. The effect of financial development on poverty is positive and significant at 5% level. Based on these results a percentage increase in the index of financial development, will lead to increased consumption per capita cost at 0.4 percent and reduce poverty in Islamic countries.
ی
soheila savojipour; abbas assari arani; Lotfali Agheli; ali hasanzadeh
Volume 8, Issue 29 , December 2017, , Pages 97-110
Abstract
This study models healthcare expenditure in household level with the aim of utilizing enough health goods and services in Iran. For this purpose, first suitable econometrics methods for health sector are investigated and then main determinants of households’ healthcare expenditure are introduced ...
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This study models healthcare expenditure in household level with the aim of utilizing enough health goods and services in Iran. For this purpose, first suitable econometrics methods for health sector are investigated and then main determinants of households’ healthcare expenditure are introduced by using the sample selection model. Model estimation has been based on the socio-economic and demographic information of 38513 Iranian households, derived from household’s income- expenditure survey (HIES) in 2011. The results show that the increasing of household's members (children, youth and elderly) and women proportion, to be married of household's head, smoking, having health insurance and living in urban and more development areas encourage households to purchase health goods and services in respective market. On the other hand, household's healthcare expenditure will increase if household consumes more amount of Tobacco, family number, especially the number of elderly members is more and the larger proportion of family members belongs to women. Moreover, households that belong to middle income groups, and who have health insurance and their header is married spend higher expenditure to purchase the health goods and services. This result is true about households which have house; their members are more educated and live in urban areas and provinces where more developed in terms of health facilities.
amir ali farhang
Abstract
Growing demand for energy leads to economic growth and at the same time increases pollution and environmental degradation. Given the importance of economic growth and the environment, it is important for policymakers and economists to understand how energy variables and pollution affect the economic ...
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Growing demand for energy leads to economic growth and at the same time increases pollution and environmental degradation. Given the importance of economic growth and the environment, it is important for policymakers and economists to understand how energy variables and pollution affect the economic growth of countries. According to this, the present study investigated the effects of fossil fuel consumption, CO2 emissions and crude oil prices on economic growth during the period 2000-2019 in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). For analysis, the Pooled mean group (PMG) and dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS) methods have been used and the countries studied in the study, in addition to the regional study of MENA, are divided into two subgroups, including countries exporting and importing crude oil. The results of PMG estimation show that a one percent increase in fossil fuel energy consumption, CO2 emissions and crude oil prices increased economic growth by 0.183, 0.013 and 0.058 percent for the crude oil exporting countries, respectively, while increasing by one percent. Crude oil prices in the short and long term will reduce the economic growth in the countries importing crude oil by 0.0260 and 0.409% respectively. The estimation results of DOLS method are similar to the results of PMG method and confirm it and indicate that the research has sufficient strength.
Reza Najarzadeh; Farzad Rahimzadeh
Volume 3, Issue 9 , April 2013, , Pages 98-85
Abstract
Undoubtedly, the Internet has affected the country's economic and financial interactions. Therefore, in this paper, the effect of Internet on economic growth has been studied. To this end, data of 140 countries collected in the period 1995 to 2010 and after review of data stationary and their cointegration ...
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Undoubtedly, the Internet has affected the country's economic and financial interactions. Therefore, in this paper, the effect of Internet on economic growth has been studied. To this end, data of 140 countries collected in the period 1995 to 2010 and after review of data stationary and their cointegration with Pedroni Cointegration test, model is estimated by panel data approach. The model estimation results show that the rate of Internet access, capital stock, labor force, trade openness and per capita spending on education have positive and significant effects and inflation and government consumption spending have the negative impact on per capita GDP growth.
International Commerce
aso Esmailpour; Ahmad Assadzadeh; Mostafa Shokri; Hammed Zolghader
Volume 7, Issue 28 , September 2017, , Pages 99-112
Abstract
One of the main goals of developing countries is abating of stable and enduring economic growth. Therefore, recognition of effective factors on economic growth is very important. Due to special significance of effective factors on non-oil exports in trade policy making, in this study the influence ...
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One of the main goals of developing countries is abating of stable and enduring economic growth. Therefore, recognition of effective factors on economic growth is very important. Due to special significance of effective factors on non-oil exports in trade policy making, in this study the influence of different Variables such as efficacy of export insurance subsidy on non-oil exports has been studied. Because of the high power models to predict the behavior of economic systems based on fuzzy regression, fuzzy regression is used to examine the relationship between non-oil exports with export insurance subsidy and other variables in the period 1995 to 2015.The results obtained from this study show that short term and long-term export insurance subsidy have positive effect on non-oil exports of the country. According to these results and main foresighted objectives defined in future economic development document, which include reduction of dependency to oil export revenues, in order to increase non-oil exports it is suggested to use export insurance subsidy.
s
Sima Eskandari Sabzi; Asadolah Farzinvash; Kambiz Hojabr Kiani; Hamid Shahrestani
Volume 8, Issue 30 , April 2018, , Pages 101-116
Abstract
Economic instability affects the domestic money that economic agents are willing to hold. For example in an uncertain inflationary environment, they prefer to less demand for money and use those asset which has less risk of maintenance, such as foreign currency and foreign assets. The use of foreign ...
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Economic instability affects the domestic money that economic agents are willing to hold. For example in an uncertain inflationary environment, they prefer to less demand for money and use those asset which has less risk of maintenance, such as foreign currency and foreign assets. The use of foreign currency as a store of value is "dollarization". This study examines the impact of economic instability on the unofficial dollarization in Iran. For this purpose, we estimate the degree of dollarization by Kamin and Ericsson (2003) and El-Erian (1988) method, then obtain a composite macroeconomic instability index with the consumer price index, exchange rate, stock of international reserves, interest rate and budget deficit, then examine by using a vector auto regression model over the period of 1979 to 2014. The results indicate that economic instability affects dollarization positively. The impulse response function shows that a one-standard error shock in instability increases dollarization at first, and gradually reduced. The results of variance decomposition also show that in long term instability index can explain fluctuation of the dollarization.
